Hurricane Season

[IdRatherBeSkiing]

Even if they stayed open, what the hell would one do there in this weather?

No lines.

 

[scotchandcigar]

No lines.

True, and that'd be enough of an incentive for some people.

 

[JHDK]

Florida stork finds refuge from Hurricane Matthew in zoo's bathroom | Daily Mail Online

 

[memebag]

Even if they stayed open, what the hell would one do there in this weather?

Space Mountain.

 

[blyons200]

I'm in central North Carolina, we're getting some rain from it, but nothing compared to the coast.

 

[JHDK]

it's officially hurricane season 2017!

usually there is nothing to worry about until august but you never know. they are predicting an active season but i put little faith in these long term forecasts. we'll have to wait and see.


NOAA forecasts active hurricane season: Travel Weekly

 

[IdRatherBeSkiing]

it's officially hurricane season 2017!

usually there is nothing to worry about until august but you never know. they are predicting an active season but i put little faith in these long term forecasts. we'll have to wait and see.


NOAA forecasts active hurricane season: Travel Weekly

When have weather forecasters ever been right?

 

[HecticArt]

When have weather forecasters ever been right?

33% of the time.
That's it.

 

[Wolf]

Weather forecasts much more accurate | Science | The Journal Gazette

5-day forecasts now as accurate as 3-day forecasts in 2005 | Daily Mail Online

 

[IdRatherBeSkiing]

Weather forecasts much more accurate | Science | The Journal Gazette

5-day forecasts now as accurate as 3-day forecasts in 2005 | Daily Mail Online

3 day forecasts were never accurate in 2005.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Wolf]

I know the local forecast here in Phoenix are usually never accurate, sometimes they predict rain and it doesn't happen.

 

[memebag]

I never see a weather forecast predict rain. The give a probability of rain. Those probabilities are very accurate for 3 day forecasts.

 

[Wolf]

When I use to live in Houston, I recall the newscasters predicting rain and certain parts of the Texas area usually get plenty of rain. Specially when they had Texas crazy rain, that what I call it. It rains across the street and the other side never got a drop.

 

[scotchandcigar]

I never see a weather forecast predict rain. The give a probability of rain.

Do you also correct your wife while she's talking dirty to you?

 

[scotchandcigar]

I know the local forecast here in Phoenix are usually never accurate, sometimes they predict rain and it doesn't happen.

OK let's step-back for a minute and take a closer look. Of all the places in the world to forecast weather, Phoenix is one of the easiest. If they were to predict "hot and sunny" all year long, they'd be correct more often than any other metro area forecast.

They tease the possibility of rain, just to breakup the monotony. It often dries-up in the atmosphere before reaching the ground, so you never see any rain.

 

[memebag]

Do you also correct your wife while she's talking dirty to you?

No, just your mom.

The distinction is significant.

 

[Wolf]

OK let's step-back for a minute and take a closer look. Of all the places in the world to forecast weather, Phoenix is one of the easiest. If they were to predict "hot and sunny" all year long, they'd be correct more often than any other metro area forecast.

They tease the possibility of rain, just to breakup the monotony. It often dries-up in the atmosphere before reaching the ground, so you never see any rain.

Everybody knows Phoenix is hot and sunny almost all year long. Out of the 12 months it usually hot for 5 months, May till September and occasionally a monsoon storm. The other 7 months are usually great cool weather almost feels like San Diego without the ocean.

Yea that how it usually works for the rain, there been some days it looks like it going to rain hard and all it is extremely cloudy days.

 

[HecticArt]

The Farmers Almanac is also right 33% of the time.

 

[HecticArt]

No, just your mom.

The distinction is significant.

She doesn't like it when I interrupt her.

 

[memebag]

The Weatherman Is Not a Moron - The New York Times

In 1972, the service’s high-temperature forecast missed by an average of six degrees when made three days in advance. Now it’s down to three degrees. More stunning, in 1940, the chance of an American being killed by lightning was about 1 in 400,000. Today it’s 1 in 11 million. This is partly because of changes in living patterns (more of our work is done indoors), but it’s also because better weather forecasts have helped us prepare.

Perhaps the most impressive gains have been in hurricane forecasting. Just 25 years ago, when the National Hurricane Center tried to predict where a hurricane would hit three days in advance of landfall, it missed by an average of 350 miles. If Hurricane Isaac, which made its unpredictable path through the Gulf of Mexico last month, had occurred in the late 1980s, the center might have projected landfall anywhere from Houston to Tallahassee, canceling untold thousands of business deals, flights and picnics in between — and damaging its reputation when the hurricane zeroed in hundreds of miles away. Now the average miss is only about 100 miles.